Rationality Freiburg

Statistics: P(Doom) 2.0: Should We Prioritize the Long-Term Future?

September 14, 2025

Read more about this event.

See also the 2025 summary.

Attendees

  • Total: 20 people
  • Recurring: 15 people
  • New: 5 people

1. Practical use: For my life, what we did today will have …

  • Responses: 16 people (80.00% of attendees)
  • Answers:
    • a lot of practical use (1): 0 people
    • quite a bit of practical use (2): 5 people
    • some practical use (3): 4 people
    • little practical use (4): 3 people
    • very little practical use (5): 4 people
  • Average answer: 3.38 (σ=1.20)

1. Practical use: For my life, what we did today will have …

2. The atmosphere / vibe was …

  • Responses: 16 people (80.00% of attendees)
  • Answers:
    • fantastic (1): 3 people
    • good (2): 10 people
    • okay (3): 3 people
    • bad (4): 0 people
    • horrible (5): 0 people
  • Average answer: 2.00 (σ=0.63)

2. The atmosphere / vibe was …

3. The amount of content / exercises covered was …

  • Responses: 16 people (80.00% of attendees)
  • Answers:
    • way too much (1): 0 people
    • too much (2): 2 people
    • just right (3): 9 people
    • too little (4): 5 people
    • way too little (5): 0 people
  • Average answer: 3.19 (σ=0.66)

3. The amount of content / exercises covered was …

4. The difficulty level of the content / discussion was …

  • Responses: 16 people (80.00% of attendees)
  • Answers:
    • much too easy (1): 1 person
    • too easy (2): 6 people
    • just right (3): 8 people
    • too difficult (4): 1 person
    • much too difficult (5): 0 people
  • Average answer: 2.56 (σ=0.73)

4. The difficulty level of the content / discussion was …

5. Structure: On the whole the event needed …

  • Responses: 16 people (80.00% of attendees)
  • Answers:
    • much more structure (1): 0 people
    • more structure (2): 5 people
    • (was just right) (3): 10 people
    • less structure (4): 1 person
    • much less structure (5): 0 people
  • Average answer: 2.75 (σ=0.58)

5. Structure: On the whole the event needed …

6. The moderation should have been …

  • Responses: 16 people (80.00% of attendees)
  • Answers:
    • much more relaxed (1): 0 people
    • more relaxed (2): 0 people
    • (was just right) (3): 9 people
    • more assertive (4): 5 people
    • much more assertive (5): 2 people
  • Average answer: 3.56 (σ=0.73)

6. The moderation should have been …

7. Host preparation: The content / exercises were …

  • Responses: 16 people (80.00% of attendees)
  • Answers:
    • very well prepared (1): 4 people
    • well prepared (2): 9 people
    • okay prepared (3): 2 people
    • not well prepared (4): 1 person
    • not well prepared at all (5): 0 people
  • Average answer: 2.00 (σ=0.82)

7. Host preparation: The content / exercises were …

8. Changing your mind: The event made me …

  • Responses: 16 people (80.00% of attendees)
  • Answers:
    • question many things (1): 2 people
    • question some things (2): 6 people
    • question few things (3): 2 people
    • question very few things (4): 3 people
    • not question anything (5): 3 people
  • Average answer: 2.94 (σ=1.39)

8. Changing your mind: The event made me …

9. Do you think you will come to one (or more) of the next three events?

  • Responses: 16 people (80.00% of attendees)
  • Answers:
    • probably no: 0 people
    • probably yes: 16 people

9. Do you think you will come to one (or more) of the next three events?

10. If you answered “probably no” in the previous question or are very uncertain, why is that?

  • Responses: 0 people (0.00% of attendees)
  • Answers:
    • Friday evening is a bad timeslot for me.: 0 people
    • I can’t fit another activity into my life.: 0 people
    • I did not like (some of) the people here.: 0 people
    • I did not like today’s venue.: 0 people
    • I live too far away.: 0 people
    • I’m not very interested in your usual topics.: 0 people
    • The level of English is too advanced for me.: 0 people

10. If you answered “probably no” in the previous question or are very uncertain, why is that?

11. What did you like the most today?

  • Responses: 10 people (50.00% of attendees)

Note: Anything contained in square brackets [] is an edit by the organizers.

Discussion

The structure and breaking up into groups worked well this time

Diskussionen und der Inhalt

Discussions

Interessante (für mich neue) Aspekte in der Diskussion

Topic

Learning about the concepts

Die Diskussionen darüber, wie und ob wir die Zukunft beeinflussen können

Discussion

Vibe, Discussion Round 2, noticing that nearly everyone was 2 or 3 on the scale

12. What did you like the least?

  • Responses: 7 people (35.00% of attendees)

Note: Anything contained in square brackets [] is an edit by the organizers.

there was one person who was a bit annoying… [Edited to make the person less identifiable. The information has been noted.]

The topic was so wide, with lots of possibilities, it could be more narrowed down

Teilnehmer, der sich aus meiner Sicht etwas unangenehm verhalten hat. [Information has been noted.]

Serious presentations, could be combined with more fun

Dass die Zeit so schnell vergangen ist :)

Lack Structure/ preparation of the of the discussion question
Little Application of something useful in life…for guiding important decisions

I didn’t like one person in Discussion Round 1 [Edited to make the person less identifiable. The information has been noted.]